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South African Data Analysts: Lockdown Will Lead to 29 Times More Deaths Than Coronavirus

Economic impact will be far deadlier in the long term.

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A data analyst consortium in South Africa asserts that the economic consequences of the country’s lockdown will lead to 29 times more people dying than the coronavirus itself.

“The model, which will be made public today for debate, was developed by a consortium calling itself Panda (Pandemic ~ Data Analysis), which includes four actuaries, an economist and a doctor, while the work was checked by lawyers and mathematicians,” reports the Financial Mail. “The process was led by two fellows at the Actuarial Society of SA, Peter Castleden and Nick Hudson.”

According to the research, the 29 times figure is a “conservative estimate” of how many lives will be lost due to the impact of poverty caused by economic hardship over the long term.

The Mail describes how the consortium reached their conclusion.

“In SA, they estimate that 5.4 years of life have been lost per Covid-19 death. They then multiply this by the range of deaths which they predict – 20,000 – as well as the actuarial society’s prediction of 88,000 fatalities. They factor in that the lockdown will have reduced some deaths, but not all. In the end, their model translated into a minimum of 26,800 “years of lives lost” due to Covid-19, and a maximum of 473,500 years. (This, critically, shouldn’t be confused with the actual number of fatalities expected from Covid-19.)”

“The actuaries then used the figures predicted by the National Treasury to model the impact on poverty. On Friday, the Treasury estimated that between 3-million and 7-million jobs will be lost due to the measures taken to combat the virus. The actuaries then work out that, conservatively, 10% of South Africans will become poorer, and as a result, will lose a few months of their lives.”

The model shows that the number of years lost due to the economic collapse caused by the lockdown will be between 14 million and 24 million, which means the 29 times figure is on the low end and could be even higher.

The model also showed that based on European data, “90% of Covid-19 deaths were in people 70 or older with one or more comorbidity, while the relative risk to the young and healthy is negligible.”

The researchers have sent a letter to President Cyril Ramaphosa demanding an end to the lockdown and calling it a “humanitarian disaster” that will “dwarf Covid-19.”

As we previously highlighted, in the UK, Professor Richard Sullivan warns that there will be more excess cancer deaths than total coronavirus deaths due to cancer victims not getting screenings and treatment due to the focus on COVID-19.

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Coronavirus

South Australia Revokes Lockdown After Revelation One Person Lied to Contact Tracers

Respondents slam decision to lockdown based on flimsy evidence.

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South Australia has revoked its draconian lockdown, which banned people from even walking their dogs, after it was revealed that just one person lied to contact tracers.

The lockdown took effect yesterday and banned people from leaving their homes unless for emergency medical reasons or to buy food.

Police even confirmed via Twitter that people who walked their dogs outside would be in violation of the law, prompting a huge backlash.

Now just a day later, the lockdown is set to be revoked after authorities admitted that the one person who sparked the decision had lied to contact tracers.

“South Australia Premier Steven Marshall announced the explosive finding during a Friday press conference, saying that the individual in question purposely misled contact tracers,” reports RT.

“Though he told them he had visited a pizza bar linked to a local outbreak only once, he in fact worked at the establishment and had spent several shifts there during the period in question.”

The government has now acknowledged that the man, who was initially blamed for being a ‘super spreader’, had in fact not been the source of what authorities claimed was a super-infectious strain of the virus.

“Their story didn’t add up. We pursued them. We now know that they lied,” said South Australia Premier Steven Marshall.

Maybe authorities should have confirmed the man’s story before announcing their draconian lockdown? Just a thought.

As of Saturday, the region will now move back into its previous lockdown tier, with many restrictions being lifted again.

Respondents on Twitter slammed the government for imposing the crippling lockdown on the basis of one erroneous case at a pizza place.

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Coronavirus

AOC Wants Government “To Pay People To Stay Home”

Radical leftists within the Democratic party want forever lockdowns

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Steve Watson

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Extreme leftist Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY) tweeted a new stunningly bright idea Thursday night, posting that “To get the virus under control, we need to pay people to stay home.”

Yes, that is correct, an elected representative seriously wants the government to pay Americans to force them to stay inside.

AOC followed up her deranged suggestion by declaring that Republicans are mad at her for the suggestion, but really voted to do the same thing earlier in the year.

Ignoring the fact that it was Nancy Pelosi who advocated the biggest coronavirus slush fund, AOC continued her diatribe:

This is yet more proof that radical leftists within the Democratic party will be pushing Biden to implement even more stringent lockdown restrictions if he manages to fend off Trump’s legal efforts and take office.

GOP Senator Rand Paul has vowed to fight such measures with impunity. On Thursday, Paul doubled down on his pledge, labelling lockdowns as “arbitrary.”

“Let’s hope, in this case, the court will intervene,” Paul said in an interview with Fox Business.

“I’ve been calling my governor for months ‘DWP,’ drunk with power, because he’s taken this power without any consent from the legislature,” the Senator noted, referring to his state of Kentucky.

“…the edicts that are coming from the governor, and from the governor of Michigan, they’re completely arbitrary,” Paul urged, adding “They’re not based in any kind of science. There is really very little objective science to prove that any of this works.”

“They’re theater,” he said. “If you look at the cloth masks, 97% of virus-sized particles go through a cloth mask, so we’re kidding ourselves.”

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Coronavirus

Report: Government Spies Are Tracking Brits Movements To Check If They’re Complying With Lockdown

GCHQ spooks also tasked with waging war on ‘anti-vaccination conspiracy theories’

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Steve Watson

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GCHQ spooks are monitoring the movement of British people minute by minute to check if they are complying with government restrictions, according to reports.

The London Telegraph (Paywall) reports that spies from Britain’s most secretive intelligence and security organisation, Government Communications Headquarters, have embedded a ‘cell’ within Number 10 Downing Street in order to provide Prime Minister Boris Johnson with real time information pertaining to the public’s movements.

The Daily Mail also reports on the development, which notes that GCHQ, normally tasked with spying on terrorists and foreign powers, has been turned on the British public to gauge whether people are following the COVID ‘rules’ or not.

The report notes that as well as tracking the movement of people, the spies are collecting information on “internet searches for holidays and jobs.”

A source told The Telegraph that the spying is aiding ‘better policymaking,’ concerning the coronavirus pandemic, and will be used in order to make a decision on whether the lockdown will be extended beyond December 2, even though Johnson insisted that it definitely wouldn’t.

The report also claims that the GCHQ has collected all the information from the maligned ‘Track and Trace’ app, and is ensuring that it is ‘anonymised’, so it cannot be accessed by ‘hostile states’.

The spy agency is also being employed to combat ‘anti-vaccination conspiracy theories’ being spread on social media, in relation to the pandemic.

Speaking anonymously to the London Times earlier this month, a source noted that “GCHQ has been told to take out antivaxers online and on social media. There are ways they have used to monitor and disrupt terrorist propaganda.”

The report noted that the spy agency was considering taking down websites and content that isn’t pro-vaccination, as well as ‘disrupting’ those creating the content  by “using a toolkit developed to tackle disinformation and recruitment material peddled by Islamic State.”

GCHQ has previously been embroiled in controversy where spying on the public is concerned, as it was revealed in 2013 by former NSA contractor Edward Snowden, that the agency was scouring all online and telephone data in the UK via a program code named ‘Tempora’.

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