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South African Data Analysts: Lockdown Will Lead to 29 Times More Deaths Than Coronavirus

Economic impact will be far deadlier in the long term.

Published

2 months ago

on

MARCO LONGARI/Getty Images

A data analyst consortium in South Africa asserts that the economic consequences of the country’s lockdown will lead to 29 times more people dying than the coronavirus itself.

“The model, which will be made public today for debate, was developed by a consortium calling itself Panda (Pandemic ~ Data Analysis), which includes four actuaries, an economist and a doctor, while the work was checked by lawyers and mathematicians,” reports the Financial Mail. “The process was led by two fellows at the Actuarial Society of SA, Peter Castleden and Nick Hudson.”

According to the research, the 29 times figure is a “conservative estimate” of how many lives will be lost due to the impact of poverty caused by economic hardship over the long term.

The Mail describes how the consortium reached their conclusion.

“In SA, they estimate that 5.4 years of life have been lost per Covid-19 death. They then multiply this by the range of deaths which they predict – 20,000 – as well as the actuarial society’s prediction of 88,000 fatalities. They factor in that the lockdown will have reduced some deaths, but not all. In the end, their model translated into a minimum of 26,800 “years of lives lost” due to Covid-19, and a maximum of 473,500 years. (This, critically, shouldn’t be confused with the actual number of fatalities expected from Covid-19.)”

“The actuaries then used the figures predicted by the National Treasury to model the impact on poverty. On Friday, the Treasury estimated that between 3-million and 7-million jobs will be lost due to the measures taken to combat the virus. The actuaries then work out that, conservatively, 10% of South Africans will become poorer, and as a result, will lose a few months of their lives.”

The model shows that the number of years lost due to the economic collapse caused by the lockdown will be between 14 million and 24 million, which means the 29 times figure is on the low end and could be even higher.

The model also showed that based on European data, “90% of Covid-19 deaths were in people 70 or older with one or more comorbidity, while the relative risk to the young and healthy is negligible.”

The researchers have sent a letter to President Cyril Ramaphosa demanding an end to the lockdown and calling it a “humanitarian disaster” that will “dwarf Covid-19.”

As we previously highlighted, in the UK, Professor Richard Sullivan warns that there will be more excess cancer deaths than total coronavirus deaths due to cancer victims not getting screenings and treatment due to the focus on COVID-19.

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Coronavirus

Head of Emergency Management Says Texans Should Wear Masks Inside Their Own Homes

Health authorities to patrol behavior on private property?

Published

3 days ago

on

10 July, 2020

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The head of the Texas Division of Emergency Management gave an interview in which he said that people should wear masks inside their own homes in order to stop the spread of coronavirus.

Appearing on Fox News at Nine, Chief Nim Kidd insisted that people should wear masks indoors if they have potentially exposed themselves to the virus by being outside.

“We still need people to wear the mask out in public, we still need people to keep social distance and isolation,” Kidd said. “Ryan, the one thing I want to try to get across today is we need to do that when we’re in our homes also.”

“While we believe the community is doing a great job of following the rules when they are outside the home, we really need to be thinking about doing the same thing when we’re inside the home,” he added.

When host Ryan Wolf asked Kidd if “people should be wearing masks inside their own homes now,” he responded that this should happen if someone has been “out in public,” for example for a 4th of July celebration and hasn’t “decontaminated” when they arrive home

“Although Kidd shied away from saying residents must wear masks in their home, he said it needs to be heavily considered,” reports News4SanAntonio. “In the interview, he cited how some people may be going out for holidays or parties, but not considering what they may be bringing in their homes.”

As we previously highlighted, this is not the first example of health authorities trying to police people’s behavior inside their homes over coronavirus.

Some Californians are calling 911 if they hear their neighbors loudly coughing or sneezing, with paramedics being dispatched to homes in some cases.

“Coachella Valley police departments say they’ve started fielding 911 reports from concerned callers convinced a neighbor’s overly loud sneeze or hacking cough is proof the person has the virus,” reported the Desert Sun.

If health authorities are now moving towards patrolling behavior inside the confines of private property due to COVID-19 hysteria, how far away are mandatory vaccinations?

As we have previously highlighted, the media is continuing to peddle alarmist hysteria by hyping rising coronavirus cases, despite the fact that the death rate has been consistently falling for over two months across the country.

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US Officially Withdraws From World Health Organisation

Biden promises to re-join if elected.

Published

5 days ago

on

8 July, 2020

Steve Watson

FABRICE COFFRINI/POOL/AFP via Getty Images

The US has officially notified the United Nations that America is leaving the World Health Organisation, and the process will be completed one year from now on July 6 2021.

However, Joe Biden says that if elected President, he will reverse the decision.

The Trump administration started the formal process of leaving the WHO this week, following the President’s fierce criticism of the health body as being under the “total control” of China.

A WHO official told reporters Monday that “We have received reports that the US has submitted formal notification to the UN secretary general that it is withdrawing from WHO effective 6 July 2021.”

The US gives more than $450m per year to the WHO and currently owes the body $200m, according to reports.

Democrats used the announcement to bash Trump’s coronavirus response.

Senator Jeff Merkley, the top Democrat on the Senate foreign relations subcommittee said the development is “a huge win for China and a huge blow to the American people”.

Senator Robert Menendez, the ranking member on the Senate Foreign Affairs Committee, charged that the move “leaves Americans sick & America alone.”

Joe Biden wrote “Americans are safer when America is engaged in strengthening global health. On my first day as president, I will rejoin the WHO and restore our leadership on the world stage.”

Meanwhile, the WHO itself stealthily updated a timeline on its website this week, admitting that China never reported its discovery of the coronavirus to the organisation, and that WHO officials learned about it independently when they were finally allowed to visit the country weeks after first requesting to do so.

Breitbart News reported that “The update came after Republicans on the House Foreign Affairs Committee (HFAC) released an interim report on its investigation of China’s response after it discovered cases of the coronavirus in Wuhan.”

HFAC Lead Republican and China Task Force chairman Michael McCaul (R-TX) said in a statement:

I’m glad to see the WHO and the Chinese Communist Party have both read my interim report on the origins of the pandemic and are finally admitting to the world the truth – the CCP never reported the virus outbreak to the WHO in violation of WHO regulations. The question now is whether the CCP will continue their false propaganda campaign that continues to claim they warned the world, or whether they will come clean and begin to work with the world health community to get to the bottom of this deadly pandemic.

Appearing on Fox News, McCaul charged that the WHO cares less about global health than it does about ‘appeasing China’:

McCaul says he has repeatedly tried to get information from the WHO about China’s response to coronavirus, but has been met with a brick wall constantly:

In May, scores of countries signed a resolution collectively calling for an independent investigation into the origin of the coronavirus and the reaction of the World Health Organisation.

The WHO has come under intense scrutiny for repeating Chinese claims in January that the virus was not contagious between humans. The body then complained that it was not invited to take part in China’s investigations of the outbreak.

As we highlighted repeatedly, the WHO blocked doctors from urging countries to impose border controls to stop the spread of coronavirus and repeatedly told countries not to close borders, despite this being proven to be an effective way of controlling the spread of the virus.

While not addressing the WHO specifically, President Trump posted several tweets Tuesday slamming the media and Democrats for not acknowledging improvements in the coronavirus situation:

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Royal Society President Says Mask Refusniks Should be Publicly Shamed Like Drunk Drivers

Demands it be made mandatory inside all public buildings.

Published

6 days ago

on

7 July, 2020

Sean Gallup/Getty Images

The President of the Royal Society says that people who refuse to wear masks should be publicly shamed like drunk drivers, highlighting again how the entire issue has become another part of the ‘cancel culture war’.

“The message has not been clear enough, so perhaps people do not really understand the benefits or are not convinced of them,” writes Venki Ramakrishnan. “Whatever the reasons, we need to overcome our reservations and wear face coverings whenever we are around others in public.”

“It used to be quite normal to have quite a few drinks and drive home, and it also used to be normal to drive without seatbelts. Today, both of those would be considered antisocial, and not wearing face coverings in public should be regarded in the same way.”

Ramakrishnan’s demand follows two Royal Society reports that claim wearing masks significantly reduces the risk of COVID-19 transmission.

However, as Toby Young notes, the evidence cited by the reports is flimsy at best.

“I’ve had a look at the Royal Society paper that supposedly confirms the effectiveness of masks. It’s unimpressive. Note the threadbare evidence on which it bases its sweeping conclusion,” writes Young before quoting the report itself.

“We have found only two randomised control trials in the primary literature on the use of face masks to reduce onward transmission; one was underpowered, and the other showed significant reduction when adjusted for actual mask usage in a posthoc analysis.”

This all emphasizes once again how the issue of mask wearing has been amplified way beyond the entire coronavirus debate and has become a symbol of mass obedience.

Those who refuse to be bullied into wearing the mask are now publicly shamed and dehumanized by the political class and elitist wannabes.

Whenever transgressions make it to social media in the form of videos of people inside supermarkets refusing to wear masks, they are also savaged and “cancelled” by ‘woke’ hate mobs.

The mask is also a symbol of the lockdown, which itself has been politicized by the left with the aid of mass hysteria and fearmongering to force right of center governments in both the U.S. and the UK to commit near economic suicide in order to satiate the demands of the mask wearing mob.

Wearing the mask stopped being a medical issue many months ago and is now yet another political football in the culture war.

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