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Coronavirus Model Predicts 183 Million Infections Before the End of February

If infection rate follows current trend and virus isn’t contained.

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A model that predicts the number of coronavirus infections that will occur if the outbreak isn’t contained shows that based on current projections, there will be over 183 million infections before the end of February.

The chart, produced by data firm Bianco Research, shows that if the current rate of infections remains consistent, 183,943,221 people will have been infected by the virus within the next three weeks.

Given that the virus has already infected a minimum of 7,711 people and killed 170 (a fatality percentage of just over 2per cent), if 183 million people were infected, statistically upwards of 3.6 million would die.

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Given how horrific these numbers are, one can only hope that health authorities can get the outbreak under control before it gets anywhere near that level.

“To be absolutely clear, this is NOT a prediction that 100 million people will be infected by Feb 20,” explains Bianco Research. “Rather, this has been its growth rate for the last 12 days. A vaccine, mutation or successful quarantine/isolation could help reduce this growth rate.”

The firm also warns that if the outbreak turns into a global pandemic, it could have huge economic consequences and that “the global supply chain will grind to a halt.”

A further 44,000 are under quarantine and are suspected but not confirmed of having the virus, so the numbers could be even higher.

“The China Health Commission also gives us the number under quarantine” commented Jim Bianco. “This is those with flu symptoms isolated and monitored. It is up 10x to 44K in the last five days. This is the inventory that will feed the continued geometric of infection rates.”

As we reported earlier, Senator Tom Cotton is calling for an immediate shut down of all flights from China to the U.S. after Israel banned flights and Russia closed the entirety of its 2,600-mile border with China.

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Fauci: Americans “Don’t Believe Science And They Don’t Believe Authority”

Disease kingpin slams Americans who don’t trust him as having “anti-science bias”.

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Steve Watson

Drew Angerer/Getty Images

Dr. Anthony Fauci, the polarising director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, slammed everyday Americans for refusing to go along with ‘authority’ on medical matters, and accused people of ‘amazing denial’ when it comes to ‘truth’.

Speaking on a podcast called Learning Curve, produced by the Department of Health and Human Services (HHS), Fauci charged that “unfortunately, there is a combination of an anti-science bias that people are — for reasons that sometimes are, you know, inconceivable and not understandable — they just don’t believe science and they don’t believe authority.”

“So when they see someone up in the White House, which has an air of authority to it, who’s talking about science, that there are some people who just don’t believe that — and that’s unfortunate because, you know, science is truth,” Fauci asserted.

“It’s amazing sometimes the denial there is, it’s the same thing that gets people who are anti-vaxxers, who don’t want people to get vaccinated, even though the data clearly indicate the safety of vaccines,” Fauci proclaimed, adding “That’s really a problem.”

Perhaps the real reason Americans don’t trust Fauci is that he’s consistently flip flopped and contradicted himself on ‘the truth’ for months.

The man also exudes authoritarianism, and clearly has a problem with anyone who questions his superiority.

Fauci also has a long history of being the front man for a network of powerful Big Pharma and Big Medicine interests, pushing vaccines and medicines in a clear conflict of interest.

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Video: As Trump Honors Nurses At White House, Media Accuses Them Of Breaking Social Distancing Rules

“There’s not a single thing I can do to satisfy the media, the Democrats, and the fake news.”

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Steve Watson

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As the President hosted a group of frontline nurses and healthcare workers at the White House, a reporter was beset by an overwhelming urge to show that orange man is bad.

“America’s nurses are waging a war against the invisible enemy,” Trump announced, adding ”They’re fighting on the frontlines of the battle risking their health to save lives of fellow citizens.”

Trump made the comments as he met with six nurses and the presidents of the American Nurses Association and the American Association of Nurse Practitioners, to sign a proclamation in honor of National Nurses Day.

Not good enough for the media however, with one reporter immediately accusing the president of sending the wrong message to Americans for not socially distancing and not wearing masks.

“I’m trying to be nice, I’m signing a bill and you criticize us,” Trump shot back.

“Look, here’s a story. There’s not a single thing I can do to satisfy the media, the Democrats, and the fake news.” Trump asserted.

Watch:

Defending Trump, the president of the American Association of Nurse Practitioners Sophia Thomas jumped in, explaining “We’re all COVID-19 free, we were all tested, we’re not socially distancing if we’re all negative, and we wouldn’t do anything to harm our president, obviously.”

Thomas further said that she had reused a mask in New Orleans for a long time, and that PPE was “sporadic” for a while where she worked, but was “manageable.”

“Sporadic for you, but not sporadic for a lot of other people,” Trump intervened.

“I agree Mr. President, absolutely,” Thomas replied.

This exchange was then reported by the media with headlines such as “Donald Trump undermines coronavirus nurse after she complained about ‘sporadic’ PPE” and “Trump rebukes nurse in White House.”

Those reports did not focus on the fact that the nurses all said they had good supplies of PPE.

One of the nurses from New Jersey commented that she cannot stand media reports about supposed  medical shortages, noting that they unnecessarily worry healthcare staff.

“It makes it so much worse for us nurses to work,” she said, adding “We’re seeing the reality of it, but to hear it on constantly … in reality, I’m not seeing it. I’m in a hot zone right now.”

“You know why? Because they’re fake news, that’s why,” Trump replied.

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Former Supermarket Boss Warns of Potential Coronavirus “Food Riots,” Army Patrols

Grocery stores may have to take drastic measures.

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Former Tesco supply chain director Bruno Monteyne warns that a large scale outbreak of coronavirus in the UK could lead to “food riots,” requiring the army to be used to guard supermarkets.

Monteyne said that supermarkets would have to resort to drastic measures and revert to “feed the nation status” under a worse case scenario.

He also cautioned that grocery stores would have trouble stocking shelves and delivering goods if their employees decided to self-isolate.

“Yes, it will be chaotic (and expect pictures of empty shelves),” wrote Mr Monteyne, “but the industry will reduce complexity to keep the country fed.”

He said that the army may need to be drafted in to guard stores and prevent disorder.

UK Health Secretary Matt Hancock said he was “confident” food supplies would not run out and that there was “absolutely no need” to panic-buy.

Hancock also claimed that supermarkets could deliver food to coronavirus patients who had self-isolated, although this claim was immediately put in doubt by one supermarket executive, who said he was “baffled” by the suggestion.

“Matt Hancock has totally made up what he said about working with supermarkets. We haven’t heard anything from government directly,” the executive said, adding, “I’m not sure the government can guarantee all food supply in all instances.”

A source at another supermarket told the BBC that there had been no detailed planning involving government departments about “ensuring uninterrupted food supplies.”

Panic buying continued across the UK today, with supermarket shelves of goods like hand sanitizer, toilet paper and medicine.

The number of coronavirus cases in the UK has now reached 163, with two deaths.

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