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Coronavirus Model Predicts 183 Million Infections Before the End of February

If infection rate follows current trend and virus isn’t contained.

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A model that predicts the number of coronavirus infections that will occur if the outbreak isn’t contained shows that based on current projections, there will be over 183 million infections before the end of February.

The chart, produced by data firm Bianco Research, shows that if the current rate of infections remains consistent, 183,943,221 people will have been infected by the virus within the next three weeks.

Given that the virus has already infected a minimum of 7,711 people and killed 170 (a fatality percentage of just over 2per cent), if 183 million people were infected, statistically upwards of 3.6 million would die.

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Given how horrific these numbers are, one can only hope that health authorities can get the outbreak under control before it gets anywhere near that level.

“To be absolutely clear, this is NOT a prediction that 100 million people will be infected by Feb 20,” explains Bianco Research. “Rather, this has been its growth rate for the last 12 days. A vaccine, mutation or successful quarantine/isolation could help reduce this growth rate.”

The firm also warns that if the outbreak turns into a global pandemic, it could have huge economic consequences and that “the global supply chain will grind to a halt.”

A further 44,000 are under quarantine and are suspected but not confirmed of having the virus, so the numbers could be even higher.

“The China Health Commission also gives us the number under quarantine” commented Jim Bianco. “This is those with flu symptoms isolated and monitored. It is up 10x to 44K in the last five days. This is the inventory that will feed the continued geometric of infection rates.”

As we reported earlier, Senator Tom Cotton is calling for an immediate shut down of all flights from China to the U.S. after Israel banned flights and Russia closed the entirety of its 2,600-mile border with China.

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Former Supermarket Boss Warns of Potential Coronavirus “Food Riots,” Army Patrols

Grocery stores may have to take drastic measures.

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Former Tesco supply chain director Bruno Monteyne warns that a large scale outbreak of coronavirus in the UK could lead to “food riots,” requiring the army to be used to guard supermarkets.

Monteyne said that supermarkets would have to resort to drastic measures and revert to “feed the nation status” under a worse case scenario.

He also cautioned that grocery stores would have trouble stocking shelves and delivering goods if their employees decided to self-isolate.

“Yes, it will be chaotic (and expect pictures of empty shelves),” wrote Mr Monteyne, “but the industry will reduce complexity to keep the country fed.”

He said that the army may need to be drafted in to guard stores and prevent disorder.

UK Health Secretary Matt Hancock said he was “confident” food supplies would not run out and that there was “absolutely no need” to panic-buy.

Hancock also claimed that supermarkets could deliver food to coronavirus patients who had self-isolated, although this claim was immediately put in doubt by one supermarket executive, who said he was “baffled” by the suggestion.

“Matt Hancock has totally made up what he said about working with supermarkets. We haven’t heard anything from government directly,” the executive said, adding, “I’m not sure the government can guarantee all food supply in all instances.”

A source at another supermarket told the BBC that there had been no detailed planning involving government departments about “ensuring uninterrupted food supplies.”

Panic buying continued across the UK today, with supermarket shelves of goods like hand sanitizer, toilet paper and medicine.

The number of coronavirus cases in the UK has now reached 163, with two deaths.

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Journalist Shocked at Lack of Coronavirus Checks After Returning to U.S. From Italy

“They didn’t ask me anything.”

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A journalist expressed her shock that there were no checks whatsoever for coronavirus after she landed at JFK airport having returned from Italy.

Italy is the worst hit country in Europe, with 3,296 people infected with coronavirus and a total death toll of 148.

Despite other countries such as Hungary imposing mandatory health screenings at airports for all arrivals from Italy, no such measures are being taken at many U.S. airports.

“I just landed at JFK after reporting on #coronavirus in Milan and Lombardy —the epicenter of Italy’s outbreak— for @vicenews,” tweeted Julia Lindau. “I walked right through US customs. They didn’t ask me where in Italy I went or if I came into contact with sick people. They didn’t ask me anything.”

It’s a similar situation in Europe, where even as the coronavirus started to spread to numerous countries last month, EU officials insisted that no border controls would be imposed.

The virus has now spread throughout the entire continent.

As we highlighted earlier, a new study predicts that under the “best case scenario,” coronavirus will kill 15 million people worldwide and shave $2.4 trillion off the global GDP.

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Video: Costco Customers Sprayed With ‘DISINFECTANT’ At Door

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Steve Watson

As people in London attempt to stock up they’re subjected to ‘cattle dip’ by store staff

Customers entering a Costco in Croydon, London, were surprised to be confronted with staff spraying them with disinfectant at the front door as panic increases concerning the spread of the Coronavirus.

The person who shot the video commented that shoppers ‘lined up obediently’ to be sprayed with a ‘disinfectant-like liquid’, before they were allowed access into the store:

“By time I reached the top of the line I noticed the security guard/sales assistant had a translucent canister and he was spraying everyone as they walked in.” the shopper noted.

“You would show your card and then receive a squirt of whatever was in there and then you would get a tissue.” he added.

“The liquid was more fluid than hand sanitiser and it felt more water-based, it had a smell of disinfectant.” the customer also stated.

Costco denied the accusation, stating that staff were only spraying trolley handles, not customers.

“We are simply sanitising trolley handles in an attempt to be as proactive as we possibly can to protect our employees and our members.” a statement claimed.

With cases having reached over 100 in the UK, people are ignoring government pleas not to bulk buy tinned food, medicines and other items such as face masks and hand sanitiser.

Some stores have imposed a limit on such products.

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